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La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Sevilla logo

Real Madrid
3 - 1
Sevilla

Modric (5'), Vazquez (79'), Valverde (81')
Tchouameni (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lamela (54')
Jordan (28'), Montiel (32'), Gudelj (66'), Papu (90+5')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Sevilla.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga contest with Sevilla.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Sevilla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Valencia
Tuesday, October 18 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 2-1 Sevilla

Sevilla have shown a lot of improvement under Sampaoli, but it is really difficult to back against Real Madrid at the moment, especially at Bernabeu. Los Blancos might have to be patient on Saturday, but we are expecting the champions to put another three points on the board in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 69.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 11.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawSevilla
69.98% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 18.64% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 11.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.54% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.59% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)45.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)67.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.22% (0.007000000000005 0.01)11.78% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.03% (0.016999999999996 0.02)36.98% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.62% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)48.38% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)83.51% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 69.98%
    Sevilla 11.38%
    Draw 18.64%
Real MadridDrawSevilla
2-0 @ 13.03%
1-0 @ 12.19%
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 9.29% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 6.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 4.97% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-1 @ 3.61% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.45%
5-0 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 69.98%
1-1 @ 8.85% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 3.44% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 18.64%
0-1 @ 4.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 3.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 11.38%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Sevilla

Real Madrid
90.0%
Draw
4.8%
Sevilla
5.2%
231
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2022 8pm
Sevilla
2-3
Real Madrid
Rakitic (21'), Lamela (25')
Martial (39'), Carlos (80'), Torres (83')
Rodrygo (50'), Nacho (82'), Benzema (90+2')
Camavinga (31'), Nacho (78'), Kroos (90+6'), Mariano (90+9')
Nov 28, 2021 8pm
Real Madrid
2-1
Sevilla
Benzema (32'), Junior (87')
Kroos (61'), Carvajal (69'), Casemiro (90+1')
Mir (12')
Acuna (34'), Montiel (55'), Ocampos (84')
May 9, 2021 8pm
Real Madrid
2-2
Sevilla
Asensio (67'), Hazard (90+4')
Casemiro (21')
Fernando (22'), Rakitic (78' pen.)
Suso (56'), Gudelj (85')
Dec 5, 2020 3.15pm
Sevilla
0-1
Real Madrid

Gudelj (76')
Bono (55' og.)
Kroos (44'), Modric (60'), Junior (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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