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La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 26, 2023 at 1pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Girona logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 3
Girona

Berchiche (35'), Garcia (89')
de Marcos (14'), Alvarez (45'), Garcia (78'), Valverde (78'), Muniain (85'), Paredes (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Garcia (4'), de Marcos (19' og.), Vesga (45+1' og.)
Castellanos (16'), Bueno (28'), Martinez (36'), Romeu (72'), Gazzaniga (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Girona 6-2 Almeria
Friday, February 17 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Girona

Girona deserve a lot of respect for their performance level in La Liga this season, but we are finding it difficult to back the visitors to pick up a positive result here. Michel's team are not strong travellers, while Athletic have been impressive at home this season, so we are backing a victory for Valverde's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 63.78%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Girona had a probability of 14.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawGirona
63.78% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 22.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 14.19% (0.025 0.03)
Both teams to score 43.29% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.05% (0.023999999999994 0.02)52.95% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.45% (0.02 0.02)74.55% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.98% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)16.02% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.65% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)45.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.54% (0.052999999999997 0.05)48.45% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.44% (0.038 0.04)83.56% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 63.77%
    Girona 14.19%
    Draw 22.02%
Athletic BilbaoDrawGirona
1-0 @ 14.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 13.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 7.95% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.64% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.33% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.97%
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 63.77%
1-1 @ 10.29%
0-0 @ 7.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.42% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 22.02%
0-1 @ 5.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 3.73% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.04% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 0.9% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 14.19%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Girona

Athletic Bilbao
86.5%
Draw
7.9%
Girona
5.6%
89
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2022 8pm
Mar 29, 2019 8pm
Girona
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Stuani (37')
Juanpe (72'), Portu (80')
Williams (53'), Garcia (59')
Capa (39'), Garcia (63'), Martinez (80'), Etxebarria (84')
Dec 10, 2018 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Girona
Aduriz (90' pen.)
Etxebarria (55'), Nunez (78'), Capa (81')

Juanpe (83')
Feb 4, 2018 5.30pm
Girona
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
Stuani (7' pen., 65')
Maffeo (46')

Nunez (58')
Sep 10, 2017 3.15pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-0
Girona
Muniain (25'), Aduriz (53')
Benat (21'), Garcia (64'), San Jose (68'), Laporte (91')

Alcala (24'), Granell (27'), Espinosa (40'), Aday (56'), Luiz (80'), Stuani (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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