Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 55.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Real Valladolid |
55.03% ( -0.05) | 23.83% ( 0) | 21.13% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.83% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.24% ( 0.05) | 49.76% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.23% ( 0.04) | 71.76% ( -0.05) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.05% ( 0) | 17.95% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.21% ( 0) | 48.78% ( -0) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.95% ( 0.08) | 38.05% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.18% ( 0.08) | 74.81% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Real Valladolid |
1-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.57% 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.39% 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 55.03% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 0-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 6.6% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 21.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |