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La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 19, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Real Valladolid logo

Cadiz
2 - 0
Valladolid

Bongonda (69', 76' pen.)
Lozano (73'), Bongonda (77'), Fede (86'), Mbaye (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

El Yamiq (33'), Rosa (47'), Mesa (67'), Sanchez (75')
Hongla (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Cadiz
Friday, May 12 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 0-3 Sevilla
Sunday, May 14 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 1-1 Real Valladolid

Cadiz have one of the poorer home records in La Liga this season, but Real Valladolid have struggled on their travels. It is a huge game towards the bottom of the table, but the desire not to lose is likely to be stronger than the desire to win, so a tight match could end with the spoils being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 25.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cadiz would win this match.

Result
CadizDrawReal Valladolid
48.82% (0.309 0.31) 25.6% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 25.57% (-0.23 -0.23)
Both teams to score 50.54% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.33% (0.13800000000001 0.14)52.67% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.69% (0.119 0.12)74.31% (-0.119 -0.12)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41% (0.191 0.19)21.59% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.31% (0.292 0.29)54.68% (-0.293 -0.29)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.45% (-0.119 -0.12)35.54% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.69% (-0.124 -0.12)72.31% (0.124 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 48.81%
    Real Valladolid 25.57%
    Draw 25.6%
CadizDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.61% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.77% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 48.81%
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.67% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 7.94% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 25.57%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Valladolid

Cadiz
56.6%
Draw
25.0%
Real Valladolid
18.4%
76
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2022 8pm
gameweek 6
Valladolid
0-1
Cadiz

Monchu (18')
Negredo (90+2')
Apr 24, 2021 3.15pm
gameweek 32
Valladolid
1-1
Cadiz
Plano (14')
Alcaraz (81')
Cala (64')
Espino (27'), Fali (60'), Alejo (83')
Dec 29, 2020 8.30pm
gameweek 16
Cadiz
0-0
Valladolid

Fali (26'), Alejo (27'), Lozano (33')

Mesa (6'), El Yamiq (45')
Apr 28, 2018 3pm
Valladolid
1-1
Cadiz
Martinez (59')
Luismi (43'), Michel (64'), Plano (90')
Servando (90')
Olivan (54'), Ander Garrido (63')
Nov 25, 2017 3pm
Cadiz
1-0
Valladolid
Alex (6')
Mauro (41'), Ander Garrido (77'), Bijker (80')

Borja (21'), Masip (85')
Luismi (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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