Alaves

2 - 1

Villarreal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 52.38%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 23.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.