Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 14.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.73%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Villarreal |
14.41% | 21.77% | 63.81% |
Both teams to score 44.51% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.41% | 51.59% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.62% | 73.38% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.7% | 47.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.29% | 82.71% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.45% | 15.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.52% | 44.48% |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 5.51% 2-1 @ 3.84% 2-0 @ 2.06% 3-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.05% Total : 14.41% | 1-1 @ 10.24% 0-0 @ 7.35% 2-2 @ 3.57% Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.77% | 0-1 @ 13.68% 0-2 @ 12.73% 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-3 @ 7.9% 1-3 @ 5.92% 0-4 @ 3.68% 1-4 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-5 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.03% 1-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.96% Total : 63.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 64 | 20 | 44 | 72 |
2 | Barcelona | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 60 | 34 | 26 | 64 |
3 | GironaGirona | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 59 | 34 | 25 | 62 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 56 |
5 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 55 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 46 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 42 |
8 | Valencia | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 40 |
9 | Villarreal | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Getafe | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 38 |
11 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Osasuna | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 32 |
14 | Mallorca | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 30 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
16 | Sevilla | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 28 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 27 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 29 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 40 | -20 | 22 |
19 | Granada | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 30 | 58 | -28 | 14 |
20 | Almeria | 29 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 57 | -29 | 13 |
> La Liga Full Table |