Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Villarreal |
33.85% ( 0.06) | 27.39% ( 0.03) | 38.76% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 49.47% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.92% ( -0.11) | 56.08% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.85% ( -0.09) | 77.16% ( 0.09) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.84% ( -0.02) | 31.16% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.51% ( -0.02) | 67.49% ( 0.02) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.86% ( -0.11) | 28.14% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.18% ( -0.14) | 63.82% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.94% 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 33.85% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.38% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
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