Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Sierra Leone and Congo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sierra Leone 1-2 Congo
Tuesday, March 29 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, March 29 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Nigeria vs. Sierra Leone
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Last Game: Congo 1-0 Gambia
Wednesday, June 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Wednesday, June 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Congo vs. South Sudan
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Congo | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Angola | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 | Cameroon | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 36.78%. A draw had a probability of 32.4% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 30.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.55%) and 1-2 (6.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.91%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 1-0 (13.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Congo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sierra Leone | Draw | Congo |
| 30.82% | 32.4% | 36.78% |
| Both teams to score 36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
