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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Willem II win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | FC Utrecht |
29.71% | 23.38% | 46.91% |
Both teams to score 61.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.75% | 40.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.38% | 62.62% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.01% | 25.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.99% | 61.02% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.56% | 17.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.1% | 47.9% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 7.19% 1-0 @ 6.11% 2-0 @ 4.12% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.82% 3-0 @ 1.85% 4-1 @ 1.09% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.37% Total : 29.71% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 6.28% 0-0 @ 4.53% 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 9.31% 0-1 @ 7.92% 0-2 @ 6.91% 1-3 @ 5.42% 0-3 @ 4.02% 2-3 @ 3.65% 1-4 @ 2.37% 0-4 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.6% Other @ 3.95% Total : 46.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |