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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 55.53%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 22.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | FC Twente |
22.63% ( 0.87) | 21.84% ( 0.39) | 55.53% ( -1.26) |
Both teams to score 59.52% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.76% ( -0.77) | 39.23% ( 0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.43% ( -0.81) | 61.57% ( 0.81) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.27% ( 0.33) | 30.73% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.01% ( 0.39) | 66.99% ( -0.39) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.93% ( -0.64) | 14.07% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.34% ( -1.28) | 41.66% ( 1.28) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.84% Total : 22.63% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.84% | 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 6.41% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 3.15% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 2.67% ( -0.16) 2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.08) 1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.09) 0-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.35% Total : 55.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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