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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
48.4% ( -0.1) | 24.56% ( -0.06) | 27.04% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 55.08% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.7% ( 0.38) | 47.3% ( -0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.47% ( 0.35) | 69.53% ( -0.35) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.4% ( 0.11) | 19.6% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.46% ( 0.18) | 51.54% ( -0.18) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.51% ( 0.32) | 31.49% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.12% ( 0.37) | 67.88% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
1-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.99% Total : 48.39% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 27.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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