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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Waalwijk logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
NEC

RKC Waalwijk
1 - 3
Nijmegen

Anita (61')
Oukili (29'), Vaessen (46')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Tannane (18', 31'), Tavsan (26')
Elkarouani (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-1 PSV
Sunday, March 5 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 2-2 Utrecht
Sunday, March 12 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: RKC Waalwijk 1-1 NEC

NEC boast arguably the better of the two squads, but Waalwijk's home record suggests this weekend's contest will be anything but straightforward. We are backing the teams to cancel each other out over the course of the 90 minutes and come away with honours even in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for NEC had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawNEC
49.77% (0.067 0.07) 23.42% (0.0030000000000001 0) 26.81% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Both teams to score 58.7% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.57% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)42.42% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.17% (-0.073 -0.07)64.83% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.82% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)17.18% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)47.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.88% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)29.11% (0.089000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.96% (-0.111 -0.11)65.04% (0.111 0.11)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 49.77%
    NEC 26.81%
    Draw 23.42%
RKC WaalwijkDrawNEC
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.81% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.76% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.56% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 49.77%
1-1 @ 10.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.42%
1-2 @ 6.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 26.81%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Nijmegen

RKC Waalwijk
45.5%
Draw
22.7%
NEC
31.8%
22
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 11.15am
Nijmegen
6-1
RKC Waalwijk
Dimata (38' pen.), Elkarouani (50'), Mattsson (73'), Marques (78', 90+2'), Tavsan (88')
Van den Buijs (4' pen.)
Bel Hassani (11')
Feb 19, 2022 3.30pm
Nijmegen
1-1
RKC Waalwijk
Okita (88')
Odenthal (79'), Schone (90+1')
Van der Venne (18')
Buttner (71'), Touba (90+1'), Gaari (90+3')
Dec 5, 2021 11.15am
RKC Waalwijk
2-1
Nijmegen
Odgaard (28'), Kuijpers (90+3')
Augustijns (54'), Adewoye (62'), Azhil (90')
Bruijn (16')
Marquez (47'), Odenthal (65'), Verdonk (84')
May 14, 2019 5.30pm
First Round
RKC Waalwijk
3-0
Nijmegen
Seys (41'), Spierings (62'), Bilate (70')
Tahiri (63')

Dijkstra (65'), Okita (85')
May 10, 2019 5.30pm
First Round
Nijmegen
2-0
RKC Waalwijk
Tresor Ndayishimiye (12'), Bruijn (16')
Bossaerts (21'), Wolters (67')

Walian (87'), Spierings (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6NECNijmegen321311862471550
7FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior32511164669-2326
RFC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462


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