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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 15.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
64.5% ( 0.13) | 20.41% ( -0.01) | 15.09% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 50.31% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.34% ( -0.19) | 44.66% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.98% ( -0.18) | 67.03% ( 0.18) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.9% ( -0.02) | 13.11% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.26% ( -0.04) | 39.74% ( 0.04) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.9% ( -0.27) | 42.1% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.48% ( -0.24) | 78.52% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 64.49% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.93% Total : 20.41% | 0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.62% Total : 15.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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