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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
4 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 65 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Feyenoord |
31.01% | 24.25% | 44.73% |
Both teams to score 58.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.36% | 43.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.97% | 66.03% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.17% | 26.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.87% | 62.13% |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.33% | 19.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.34% | 51.65% |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 7.43% 1-0 @ 6.94% 2-0 @ 4.57% 3-1 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.65% 3-0 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.01% | 1-1 @ 11.29% 2-2 @ 6.04% 0-0 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 9.18% 0-1 @ 8.58% 0-2 @ 6.98% 1-3 @ 4.98% 0-3 @ 3.78% 2-3 @ 3.27% 1-4 @ 2.02% 0-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.07% Total : 44.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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