While they will have one eye on the second leg of their Conference League semi-final, Feyenoord should have enough about them to get the job done in this one, and we fancy them to come out on top, albeit by only a narrow margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 18.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.15%) and 0-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
