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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 66.63%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 15.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
66.63% ( -0.11) | 18.32% ( -0) | 15.05% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 57.69% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.04% ( 0.25) | 34.96% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.05% ( 0.28) | 56.95% ( -0.28) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.27% ( 0.04) | 9.73% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.6% ( 0.1) | 32.4% ( -0.1) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.91% ( 0.31) | 36.09% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.13% ( 0.31) | 72.87% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.37% Total : 66.63% | 1-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 18.32% | 1-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.27% Total : 15.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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