MX23RW : Saturday, May 11 19:00:51| >> :600:2930621:2930621:
Oxford United
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 7, 2023 at 7pm UK
The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
5 - 0
Chelsea U21s

Perkins (15'), Thorniley (18'), Murphy (71', 78'), Harris (90+1')
Thorniley (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gee (82')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Oxford United and Chelsea Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Maidenhead
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chelsea U21s 2-2 Fulham U21s
Friday, November 3 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 62.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 17.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 1-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Chelsea Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawChelsea Under-21s
62.29% (4.387 4.39) 19.82% (-1.279 -1.28) 17.89% (-3.097 -3.1)
Both teams to score 58.74% (-0.98 -0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.37% (1.261 1.26)36.63% (-1.25 -1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.22% (1.358 1.36)58.79% (-1.348 -1.35)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.71% (1.617 1.62)11.29% (-1.606 -1.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.08% (3.407 3.41)35.92% (-3.395 -3.4)
Chelsea Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.21% (-2.346 -2.35)33.79% (2.357 2.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.55% (-2.631 -2.63)70.46% (2.644 2.64)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 62.3%
    Chelsea Under-21s 17.89%
    Draw 19.82%
Oxford UnitedDrawChelsea Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.08% (0.572 0.57)
1-0 @ 8.32% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.16% (0.441 0.44)
3-0 @ 6.6% (0.793 0.79)
4-1 @ 3.9% (0.463 0.46)
3-2 @ 3.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.6% (0.626 0.63)
4-2 @ 2.12% (0.128 0.13)
5-1 @ 1.7% (0.294 0.29)
5-0 @ 1.57% (0.352 0.35)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 62.3%
1-1 @ 9.03% (-0.58 -0.58)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.352 -0.35)
0-0 @ 3.82% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.82%
1-2 @ 4.9% (-0.662 -0.66)
0-1 @ 4.14% (-0.552 -0.55)
0-2 @ 2.25% (-0.469 -0.47)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.264 -0.26)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.373 -0.37)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 17.89%

Head to Head
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
Oxford Utd
1-2
Chelsea U21s
Taylor (10')
Burstow (78'), Hall (82')
Sep 8, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Oxford Utd
2-1
Chelsea U21s
Agyei (17'), Osei (45+2')
Russell (53')
Jan 23, 2018 7.30pm
Round Four
Chelsea U21s
3-0
Oxford Utd
St Clair (10'), Redan (16'), Castillo (65')
Sammut (91')

Ricardinho (4'), Ledson (9'), Raglan (37')
rhs 2.0
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