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League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 7, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Oxford Utd
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Bodin (13'), Long (81')
Brannagan (15'), Moore (46'), Smyth (90')
Smyth (90+5'), Mills (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Collins (89')
Barton (16'), Martin (48'), Brown (57'), Finley (78')
Brown (63')
Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and Bristol Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
50.24% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05) 24.05% (0.017999999999997 0.02) 25.71% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.54% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.86% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)46.14% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.56% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)68.43% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.59% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)18.41% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.44% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)49.56% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.07% (0.0040000000000049 0)31.93% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.62% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.38% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 50.24%
    Bristol Rovers 25.71%
    Draw 24.05%
Oxford UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.42% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 50.24%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.88% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.05%
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.015 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.48% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.83% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 25.71%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Bristol Rovers

Oxford United
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Bristol Rovers
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 34
Oxford Utd
0-3
Bristol Rovers
Sinclair (22' pen.), Collins (28'), Hoole (75')
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Oxford Utd
Marquis (34')
Saunders (65'), Grant (90+2')

Seddon (29'), Moore (40'), Brannagan (90+3')
Nov 16, 2021 7pm
First Round Replays
Bristol Rovers
4-3
Oxford Utd
Finley (48'), Spence (110', 118'), Collins (115')
Evans (50'), Spence (107')
Taylor (57' pen.), Bodin (91'), Seddon (93')
Kane (4'), Bodin (38')
Nov 7, 2021 1pm
First Round
Oxford Utd
2-2
Bristol Rovers
Taylor (11'), McGuane (51')
Taylor (32')
Finley (45+2'), Evans (87' pen.)
Finley (33'), Coutts (45')
Feb 9, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 19
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Oxford Utd

Ayunga (90')
Lee (29'), Barker (90+2')
Sykes (82'), Brannagan (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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