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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 33
Dec 27, 2022 at 7am UK
Tianhe Stadium

Guangzhou
1 - 4
Changchun

Yan (25')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jinxian (9'), Cheng (56'), Li (61' og.), Long (78')
Yan (76')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou and Changchun Yatai.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guangzhou

All competitions
Last Game: Guangzhou 1-3 Beijing Guoan
Friday, December 23 at 7am in Chinese Super League

Changchun Yatai

All competitions
Last Game: Meizhou Hakka 1-0 Changchun
Friday, December 23 at 7am in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 54.22%. A win for Guangzhou had a probability of 22.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Guangzhou win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.

Result
GuangzhouDrawChangchun Yatai
22.98% (0.467 0.47) 22.8% (0.29 0.29) 54.22% (-0.757 -0.76)
Both teams to score 56.66% (-0.372 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.77% (-0.782 -0.78)43.23% (0.78 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.37% (-0.776 -0.78)65.63% (0.773 0.77)
Guangzhou Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.36% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)32.64% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (-0.02 -0.02)69.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12% (-0.53100000000001 -0.53)15.88% (0.531 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.9% (-0.986 -0.99)45.1% (0.985 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou 22.98%
    Changchun Yatai 54.22%
    Draw 22.79%
GuangzhouDrawChangchun Yatai
2-1 @ 5.98% (0.091 0.09)
1-0 @ 5.8% (0.194 0.19)
2-0 @ 3.25% (0.108 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.23% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.21% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 22.98%
1-1 @ 10.67% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.18% (0.176 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.79%
1-2 @ 9.83% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-1 @ 9.54% (0.153 0.15)
0-2 @ 8.78% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.03% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-3 @ 5.38% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.77% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-4 @ 2.48% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-5 @ 1.02% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-5 @ 0.91% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 54.22%

Head to Head
Oct 5, 2022 8.30am
Changchun
0-0
Guangzhou

Guan (49')
Jan 1, 2022 7.30am
Guangzhou
2-0
Changchun
Ling (73'), Tan (83')
Chao (36'), Yang (70')

Mao (37'), Li (44'), Tudi (62')
Dec 19, 2021 10am
Changchun
0-2
Guangzhou

Chen (51')
Mao (75')
Deng (40'), Yang (53')
Deng (7'), Xiuwei (38')
Aug 11, 2018 11am
Changchun
3-2
Guangzhou
Rui (17'), Long (84', 90')
Long (71'), Pejcinovic (89')
Liyu (28'), Goulart (43')
Fang (29'), Xiaoting (78')
Mar 9, 2018 11.35am
Guangzhou
5-0
Changchun
Lin (52'), Goulart (60', 65'), Carvalho (79', 84')
Zhang (54'), Hanwen (75')

Jiang (31'), Zhang (37')
rhs 2.0
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