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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 19
Dec 15, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Tianhe Stadium

Guangzhou
2 - 4
Shandong

Shihao (13' pen.), Yang (30')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Moises (3', 45+1' pen.), Fellaini (58'), Jin (62' pen.)
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou and Shandong Taishan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guangzhou

All competitions
Last Game: Guangzhou 0-0 Guangzhou City
Saturday, December 10 at 11.30am in Chinese Super League

Shandong Taishan

All competitions
Last Game: Wuhan TT 1-1 Shandong
Friday, December 9 at 11.30am in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 80.01%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 7.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.62%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 2-1 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.

Result
GuangzhouDrawShandong Taishan
7.16% (0.017 0.02) 12.83% (0.032 0.03) 80.01% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 49.09% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.67% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)31.33% (0.087999999999997 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.22% (-0.1 -0.1)52.78% (0.102 0.1)
Guangzhou Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.26% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)47.74% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.96% (-0.012 -0.01)83.04% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.93% (-0.023999999999987 -0.02)6.07% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.92% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)23.08% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou 7.16%
    Shandong Taishan 80.01%
    Draw 12.83%
GuangzhouDrawShandong Taishan
2-1 @ 2.22% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 2.14% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 7.16%
1-1 @ 6% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.11% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-0 @ 2.9% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 12.83%
0-2 @ 11.37% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 10.62%
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.12% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 7.86% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-4 @ 7.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 5.5% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-5 @ 4.17% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 3.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 2.03% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-6 @ 1.95% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-6 @ 1.44% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.14% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 80.01%

Head to Head
Oct 24, 2022 12.30pm
Shandong
3-0
Guangzhou
Yang (12'), Crysan (24', 76')
Hailong (44')
Jul 27, 2021 1pm
Guangzhou
2-1
Shandong
Yang (40'), Elkeson (68')
Chao (63'), Dianzuo (81'), Zhunyi (82')
Delgado (90+3')
Qi (45'), Delgado (82'), Fellaini (90+5')
Apr 27, 2021 8.35am
Shandong
1-0
Guangzhou
Fellaini (90+3')
Leonardo (13'), Xin (90+2')

Yan (33'), Zhi (52'), Fang (67')
Sep 13, 2020 1pm
Shandong
1-2
Guangzhou
Xinghan (86')
Moises (53'), Lin (81')
Lin (90+7')
Paulinho (41'), Elkeson (70')
Zhi (39'), Zhunyi (78')
Aloisio (90+6')
Aug 9, 2020 11am
Guangzhou
0-1
Shandong

Zhunyi (61')
Guo (60')
rhs 2.0
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