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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 21, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Werder Bremen logo

FC Koln
7 - 1
Werder Bremen

Maina (9'), Tigges (15', 21'), Skhiri (30', 54'), Huseinbasic (36'), Friedl (76' og.)
FT(HT: 5-1)
Fullkrug (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-0 FC Koln
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-2 Werder Bremen

With Koln still missing several important players through injury, we can envisage the visitors picking up an important away win this weekend. Fullkrug and Ducksch can cause any opponents issues in transition on their day, with the former likely to be full of confidence after scoring against Spain at the World Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 56.05%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.97% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.53%) and 1-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawWerder Bremen
56.05% (-0.709 -0.71) 20.97% (0.218 0.22) 22.97% (0.489 0.49)
Both teams to score 63.17% (-0.133 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.34% (-0.462 -0.46)34.65% (0.46 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.39% (-0.521 -0.52)56.6% (0.51799999999999 0.52)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.6% (-0.35300000000001 -0.35)12.39% (0.349 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.72% (-0.737 -0.74)38.27% (0.736 0.74)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.11% (0.13600000000001 0.14)27.89% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.5% (0.174 0.17)63.5% (-0.178 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 56.05%
    Werder Bremen 22.97%
    Draw 20.97%
FC KolnDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.53% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.22% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.7% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.24% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-2 @ 4.28% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.5% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.74% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-2 @ 2.23% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-3 @ 0.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 56.05%
1-1 @ 9.22% (0.127 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.14% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.46% (0.081 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 20.97%
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.104 0.1)
0-1 @ 4.41% (0.12 0.12)
0-2 @ 2.82% (0.087 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.62% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.054 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 22.97%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Werder Bremen

FC Koln
34.4%
Draw
25.0%
Werder Bremen
40.6%
32
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2021 2.30pm
Nov 6, 2020 7.30pm
Werder Bremen
1-1
FC Koln
Bittencourt (82' pen.)
Mbom (31'), Osako (67')
Moisander (67' og.)
Wolf (23'), Czichos (65')
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 21, 2019 2.30pm
Mar 12, 2018 7.30pm
Werder Bremen
3-1
FC Koln
Veljkovic (33'), Rashica (58'), Eggestein (90')
Osako (53')
Sorensen (44'), Heintz (60'), Ozcan (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217


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