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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Oct 15, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Mainz logo

Werder Bremen
0 - 2
Mainz


Fullkrug (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ingvartsen (36'), Jae-sung (66')
Hack (45'), Burkardt (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Werder Bremen
Friday, October 7 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 2-1 Mainz 05

Bremen seem like a much more settled unit than Mainz, who may be struggling with the unavailability of a few key players. In the shape of their front two, the hosts have more firepower than the majority of teams in the division on current form, and we can see them ending Saturday in second position by gaining a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 54.2%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 23.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawMainz 05
54.2% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33) 22.24% (0.14 0.14) 23.56% (0.199 0.2)
Both teams to score 59.31% (-0.245 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.94% (-0.438 -0.44)40.06% (0.442 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.57% (-0.456 -0.46)62.43% (0.45999999999999 0.46)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.22% (-0.259 -0.26)14.78% (0.263 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.97% (-0.501 -0.5)43.03% (0.505 0.5)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.6% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)30.4% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.4% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)66.6% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 54.2%
    Mainz 05 23.56%
    Draw 22.24%
Werder BremenDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.59% (0.096 0.1)
2-0 @ 8.21% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.24% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.71% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.98% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.5% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.77% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 54.2%
1-1 @ 10.22% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.091 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 6.09% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.35% (0.097 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.18% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 23.56%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05

Werder Bremen
82.7%
Draw
9.6%
Mainz 05
7.7%
52
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
Dec 19, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 17, 2019 5.30pm
Werder Bremen
0-5
Mainz 05

Eggestein (77'), Bittencourt (79')
Quaison (10', 19', 38'), Pavlenka (15' og.), Mateta (81')
Fernandes (18'), Baku (79')
Mar 30, 2019 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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