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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 7, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Werder Bremen logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 2
Werder Bremen

Dabour (32')
Geiger (8'), Vogt (71'), Kabak (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ducksch (18'), Fullkrug (87' pen.)
Gruev (44'), Friedl (45+1'), Bittencourt (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 1-1 Hoffenheim
Sunday, October 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 5-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, October 1 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-1 Werder Bremen

Werder have performed much better than most people would have expected so far this season, with only Bayern Munich scoring more goals than them across the entire division. As such, it could be an entertaining affair, with Hoffenheim potentially ending up with a third successive share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawWerder Bremen
49.85% (0.022999999999996 0.02) 22.56% (0.0020000000000024 0) 27.59% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 62.47% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.24% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)37.76% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.99% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)60.01% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.57% (0.0040000000000049 0)15.43% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)44.26% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.87% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)26.13% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.8% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)61.2% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 49.85%
    Werder Bremen 27.59%
    Draw 22.56%
HoffenheimDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.39% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.85%
5-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 49.85%
1-1 @ 10.11%
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.41%
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 27.59%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen

Hoffenheim
62.7%
Draw
21.1%
Werder Bremen
16.3%
166
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2021 5pm
Hoffenheim
4-0
Werder Bremen
Bebou (26'), Baumgartner (44'), Dabour (49'), Rutter (90')
Rudy (16'), Kaderabek (51')

Toprak (8'), Friedl (69')
Oct 25, 2020 5pm
Jan 26, 2020 2.30pm
Werder Bremen
0-3
Hoffenheim

Klaassen (34'), Friedl (60')
Klaassen (65' og.), Baumgartner (79'), Adamyan (83')
Posch (22'), Kramaric (38')
Aug 24, 2019 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
3-2
Werder Bremen
Bicakcic (54'), Bebou (59'), Kaderabek (87')
Rudy (46'), Bittencourt (91')
Fullkrug (42'), Osako (81')
Klaassen (35'), Eggestein (69'), Moisander (92'), Harnik (94')
Eggestein (77')
May 11, 2019 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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