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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 | 9 |
5 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 3 | 9 |
6 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 4 | 3 | 8 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Freiburg | 4 | 4 | 9 |
4 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 | 9 |
5 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 3 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.49%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 20.93% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.11%) and 1-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hoffenheim |
58.49% ( 0.01) | 20.58% ( 0) | 20.93% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 61.57% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.58% ( -0.02) | 35.42% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.54% ( -0.03) | 57.46% ( 0.03) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.05% ( -0) | 11.95% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.66% ( -0.01) | 37.34% ( 0.01) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.93% ( -0.02) | 30.07% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.8% ( -0.02) | 66.2% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.74% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.66% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.05% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.2% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.56% 5-0 @ 1.3% 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 3.51% Total : 58.49% | 1-1 @ 9.17% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.59% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.58% | 1-2 @ 5.51% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.32% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.91% Total : 20.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 67 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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