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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 66.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 3-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hoffenheim |
66.12% | 17.88% | 16% |
Both teams to score 61.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.33% | 30.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.01% | 51.99% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.31% | 8.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.09% | 29.91% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.85% | 32.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.37% | 68.63% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.46% 2-0 @ 8.34% 3-1 @ 7.71% 1-0 @ 6.82% 3-0 @ 6.79% 4-1 @ 4.71% 3-2 @ 4.37% 4-0 @ 4.15% 4-2 @ 2.67% 5-1 @ 2.3% 5-0 @ 2.03% 5-2 @ 1.31% 4-3 @ 1.01% 6-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.51% Total : 66.12% | 1-1 @ 7.74% 2-2 @ 5.37% 0-0 @ 2.79% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.32% Total : 17.88% | 1-2 @ 4.39% 0-1 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-2 @ 1.8% 1-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.95% Total : 16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 30 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 75 | 20 | 55 | 80 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 66 |
3 | Stuttgart | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 68 | 36 | 32 | 63 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 59 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 34 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 34 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 31 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 31 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 29 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 27 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 27 |
17 | FC Koln | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 72 | -42 | 17 |
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