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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Werder Bremen logo

Dortmund
2 - 3
Werder Bremen

Brandt (45+2'), Guerreiro (77')
Modeste (39'), Can (42'), Wolf (83'), Reus (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Buchanan (89'), Schmidt (90+3'), Burke (90+5')
Fullkrug (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Werder Bremen

With Fullkrug and Ducksch in such excellent form, we can envisage the visitors scoring, but Dortmund should have too much for them overall. As last week's victory in Freiburg showed, BVB do not even necessarily need their main cast to fire to record victories, although they should be fired up by the competition for places. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.39%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawWerder Bremen
52.06% (0.697 0.7) 20.94% (-0.54 -0.54) 27% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 68.02% (1.926 1.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.72% (2.557 2.56)30.28% (-2.558 -2.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.47% (3.008 3.01)51.53% (-3.011 -3.01)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.91% (1.089 1.09)12.08% (-1.09 -1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.38% (2.258 2.26)37.61% (-2.261 -2.26)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.37% (1.246 1.25)22.62% (-1.248 -1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.75% (1.819 1.82)56.24% (-1.822 -1.82)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 52.06%
    Werder Bremen 27%
    Draw 20.94%
Borussia DortmundDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.139 0.14)
2-0 @ 6.1% (-0.355 -0.36)
1-0 @ 5.78% (-0.597 -0.6)
3-2 @ 4.75% (0.271 0.27)
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.38% (0.208 0.21)
4-2 @ 2.51% (0.24 0.24)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.06 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.143 0.14)
4-3 @ 1.24% (0.159 0.16)
5-2 @ 1.06% (0.141 0.14)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 52.06%
1-1 @ 8.59% (-0.545 -0.55)
2-2 @ 6.74% (0.114 0.11)
0-0 @ 2.73% (-0.411 -0.41)
3-3 @ 2.35% (0.214 0.21)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 20.94%
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-1 @ 4.06% (-0.442 -0.44)
2-3 @ 3.34% (0.175 0.18)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.02% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.107 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 27%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

Borussia Dortmund
86.9%
Draw
9.1%
Werder Bremen
4.0%
99
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
4-1
Werder Bremen
Reyna (29'), Braut Haaland (34' pen., 38'), Hummels (87')
Dahoud (48')
Rashica (14')
Friedl (60'), Veljkovic (66'), Gross (77'), Moisander (85')
Dec 15, 2020 7.30pm
Werder Bremen
1-2
Dortmund
Mohwald (28')
Gross (54'), Woltemade (87'), Schmid (90+2')
Guerreiro (12'), Reus (78')
Reus (35'), Witsel (60')
Feb 22, 2020 2.30pm
Feb 4, 2020 7.45pm
Werder Bremen
3-2
Dortmund
Selke (16'), Bittencourt (30'), Rashica (70')
Bittencourt (23'), Moisander (85')
Braut Haaland (67'), Reyna (78')
Schulz (49'), Reus (64'), Reyna (85')
Sep 28, 2019 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217


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