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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 70.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 12.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
12.75% | 17.14% | 70.11% |
Both teams to score 55.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.33% | 34.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.38% | 56.62% |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.91% | 39.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.2% | 75.8% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.15% | 8.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.69% | 30.3% |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 3.7% 1-0 @ 3.25% 2-0 @ 1.53% 3-2 @ 1.41% 3-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.71% Total : 12.75% | 1-1 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 4.49% 0-0 @ 3.46% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.14% | 0-2 @ 10.16% 1-2 @ 9.55% 0-1 @ 8.39% 0-3 @ 8.22% 1-3 @ 7.72% 0-4 @ 4.99% 1-4 @ 4.68% 2-3 @ 3.63% 0-5 @ 2.42% 1-5 @ 2.27% 2-4 @ 2.2% 2-5 @ 1.07% 0-6 @ 0.98% 1-6 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.9% Total : 70.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 26 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 70 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 78 | 31 | 47 | 60 |
3 | Stuttgart | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 56 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 50 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 60 | 32 | 28 | 49 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 40 |
7 | Augsburg | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 35 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 33 |
9 | Freiburg | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 30 |
11 | Heidenheim | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 29 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 28 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 28 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 25 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 25 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 19 |
17 | FC Koln | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 18 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 26 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 65 | -39 | 13 |
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