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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Dortmund logo

Hertha Berlin
0 - 1
Dortmund


Richter (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Modeste (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Hertha Berlin 1-3 Borussia Dortmund

We expect Dortmund to bounce back with a victory on Saturday, with a potential change in formation likely to suit their set of players. Defensively, they were too wide open considering that they had a two-goal lead against Bremen, so they should have a better balance and too much overall strength for a struggling Hertha side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.08%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 14.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.28%) and 0-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawBorussia Dortmund
14.93% (0.296 0.3) 18% (0.131 0.13) 67.08% (-0.425 -0.42)
Both teams to score 58.63% (0.30099999999999 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.37% (0.025000000000006 0.03)33.63% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.56% (0.027000000000001 0.03)55.44% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.62% (0.39700000000001 0.4)35.38% (-0.395 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.86% (0.409 0.41)72.14% (-0.408 -0.41)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.73% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)9.26% (0.091099999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.69% (-0.217 -0.22)31.3% (0.219 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 14.93%
    Borussia Dortmund 67.08%
    Draw 18%
Hertha BerlinDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 4.21% (0.068 0.07)
1-0 @ 3.41% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 1.77% (0.035 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.46% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 14.93%
1-1 @ 8.1% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.28% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18%
1-2 @ 9.64% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.28% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
0-1 @ 7.8% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 7.64% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 7.36% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-4 @ 4.55% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-4 @ 4.38% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.97% (0.03 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.36% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-5 @ 2.16% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-5 @ 2.08% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-5 @ 1.12%
Other @ 4.75%
Total : 67.08%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Dortmund

Hertha Berlin
9.7%
Draw
11.3%
Borussia Dortmund
79.0%
62
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Dec 18, 2021 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
3-2
Dortmund
Belfodil (51'), Richter (57', 69')
Brandt (31'), Tigges (83')
Pongracic (90+5')
Mar 13, 2021 5.30pm
Nov 21, 2020 7.30pm
Hertha Berlin
2-5
Dortmund
Cunha (33', 79' pen.)
Cunha (61')
Braut Haaland (47', 49', 62', 79'), Guerreiro (70')
Guerreiro (10')
Jun 6, 2020 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217


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