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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Werder Bremen |
48.51% | 22.68% | 28.81% |
Both teams to score 63.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.55% | 37.45% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.33% | 59.67% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.22% | 15.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.08% | 44.92% |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.84% | 25.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.12% | 59.88% |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Werder Bremen |
2-1 @ 9.34% 1-0 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 5.75% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 3.97% 4-1 @ 2.65% 4-0 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.83% 5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.81% Total : 48.51% | 1-1 @ 10.11% 2-2 @ 6.44% 0-0 @ 3.97% 3-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.67% | 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-1 @ 5.48% 0-2 @ 3.78% 1-3 @ 3.21% 2-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 1.74% 1-4 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.53% Total : 28.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 26 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 70 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 78 | 31 | 47 | 60 |
3 | Stuttgart | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 56 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 50 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 60 | 32 | 28 | 49 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 40 |
7 | Augsburg | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 35 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 33 |
9 | Freiburg | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 30 |
11 | Heidenheim | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 29 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 28 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 28 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 25 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 25 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 19 |
17 | FC Koln | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 18 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 26 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 65 | -39 | 13 |
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