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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Koln logo

Hertha Berlin
2 - 0
FC Koln

Kanga (9'), Richter (54')
Kempf (62'), Rogel (62'), Lukebakio (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Skhiri (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 B. Leverkusen
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hertha Berlin 1-1 FC Koln

Neither side looks capable of settling the score in the final third this weekend. It is very possible that the in-form Lukebakio will take the game to Koln, the Belgian having scored an impressive seven goals this season. However, against an aggressive and direct Hertha side, Koln may retreat into a more cautious play, leaving two sides with poor finishing struggling to break their opponents down. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawFC Koln
29.42% (-0.476 -0.48) 23.2% (-0.127 -0.13) 47.37% (0.599 0.6)
Both teams to score 61.57% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.45% (0.321 0.32)39.54% (-0.325 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.11% (0.333 0.33)61.89% (-0.339 -0.34)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.17% (-0.14699999999999 -0.15)25.82% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.22% (-0.197 -0.2)60.78% (0.192 0.19)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.01% (0.351 0.35)16.99% (-0.355 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.89% (0.621 0.62)47.1% (-0.624 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 29.42%
    FC Koln 47.37%
    Draw 23.19%
Hertha BerlinDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-0 @ 5.94% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-0 @ 4.02% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.22% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 29.42%
1-1 @ 10.52% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.39% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.19%
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.89% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.51% (0.087 0.09)
0-3 @ 4.07% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.73% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.44% (0.066 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.8% (0.056 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.65% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 47.37%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs FC Koln

Hertha Berlin
52.9%
Draw
23.5%
FC Koln
23.5%
17
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2022 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-3
FC Koln
Darida (57')
Torunarigha (48'), Serdar (61'), Boateng (82')
Modeste (30'), Duda (32'), Thielmann (90+1')
Hubers (15')
Aug 15, 2021 4.30pm
FC Koln
3-1
Hertha Berlin
Modeste (41'), Kainz (52', 55')
Hubers (16'), Czichos (67'), Thielmann (77'), Skhiri (80')
Jovetic (6')
Plattenhardt (90'), Serdar (90+4')
May 15, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 16, 2021 2.30pm
Feb 22, 2020 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
0-5
FC Koln

Stark (45'), Ascacibar (69')
Cordoba (4', 22'), Jarstein (37' og.), Kainz (62'), Uth (69')
Mere (55'), Rexhbecaj (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217


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