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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
 
Hertha Berlin logo

Stuttgart
2 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Guirassy (3'), Mavropanos (90+8')
Mavropanos (34'), Egloff (57'), Sosa (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lukebakio (19')
Kempf (31'), Richter (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-3 Bayern
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 1-1 Hertha Berlin

With both teams fearful of falling to another defeat, we can envisage a share of the spoils in Stuttgart on Tuesday. The visitors have arguably looked the more settled unit for more of this season so far, but they have struggled to convert performances into results and may have to settle for a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 21.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stuttgart in this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawHertha Berlin
56.26% (0.146 0.15) 21.9% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 21.84% (-0.09 -0.09)
Both teams to score 58.2% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.53% (0.156 0.16)40.47% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.15% (0.16 0.16)62.85% (-0.166 -0.17)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.74% (0.096000000000004 0.1)14.25% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.97% (0.193 0.19)42.02% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.12% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.6% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 56.26%
    Hertha Berlin 21.84%
    Draw 21.9%
StuttgartDrawHertha Berlin
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.92% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.41% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.64% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.64% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.12% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.75% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.22% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 56.26%
1-1 @ 10.13% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.9%
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 21.84%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Hertha Berlin

Stuttgart
52.5%
Draw
33.3%
Hertha Berlin
14.1%
99
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 4.30pm
Dec 5, 2021 2.30pm
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
0-2
Stuttgart

Cunha (15'), Stark (74')
Kempf (9'), Castro (68')
Kalajdzic (29'), Didavi (45')
May 4, 2019 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
3-1
Stuttgart
Ibisevic (40'), Duda (45'), Kalou (67')
Jarstein (83')
Gomez (70')
Castro (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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