Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 63.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.8%) and 1-3 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a FC Koln win it was 2-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Bayern Munich |
17.91% | 18.53% | 63.55% |
Both teams to score 63.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.78% | 30.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.55% | 51.45% |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.19% | 29.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.11% | 65.89% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.87% | 9.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.01% | 30.99% |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 4.77% 1-0 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 2.3% 2-0 @ 1.99% 3-1 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.62% Total : 17.91% | 1-1 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 5.71% 0-0 @ 2.72% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.38% Total : 18.53% | 1-2 @ 9.44% 0-2 @ 7.8% 1-3 @ 7.53% 0-1 @ 6.52% 0-3 @ 6.22% 2-3 @ 4.56% 1-4 @ 4.51% 0-4 @ 3.72% 2-4 @ 2.73% 1-5 @ 2.16% 0-5 @ 1.78% 2-5 @ 1.31% 3-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 4.19% Total : 63.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |