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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.74%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 6.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 3-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Wolfsburg |
82.74% | 11.05% | 6.21% |
Both teams to score 51.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.39% | 25.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.27% | 45.74% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.49% | 4.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.51% | 18.49% |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.26% | 45.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.48% | 81.52% |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Wolfsburg |
3-0 @ 10.24% 2-0 @ 9.91% 3-1 @ 8.01% 4-0 @ 7.94% 2-1 @ 7.75% 1-0 @ 6.4% 4-1 @ 6.21% 5-0 @ 4.93% 5-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 3.13% 6-0 @ 2.55% 4-2 @ 2.43% 6-1 @ 1.99% 5-2 @ 1.51% 7-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 4.75% Total : 82.73% | 1-1 @ 5% 2-2 @ 3.03% 0-0 @ 2.06% Other @ 0.95% Total : 11.05% | 1-2 @ 1.96% 0-1 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.65% Total : 6.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |