MX23RW : Wednesday, May 15 13:32:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Vasco da Gama
Brasileiro | Gameweek 27
Oct 19, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Fortaleza

Vasco
1 - 0
Fortaleza

Payet (58')
Pec (3'), Gomes (24'), Carvalho (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Escobar (44'), Pikachu (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vasco 0-0 Sao Paulo
Saturday, October 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 3-2 America Mineiro
Sunday, October 8 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Vasco da Gama 0-2 Fortaleza

There are plenty of incentives for both teams to claim maximum points on Thursday, with the hosts seeking to move out of the drop zone and the visitors hoping to force their way into the top four. Fortaleza came out on top the last time that these two teams met, and we believe that they have enough quality throughout their side to claim another victory in Rio de Janeiro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 44.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 27.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vasco da Gama in this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawFortaleza
44.41% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 27.87% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 27.71% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 45.7% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.29% (0.040999999999997 0.04)59.7% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.98% (0.032 0.03)80.01% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22% (0.045000000000002 0.05)26.77% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.95% (0.060000000000002 0.06)62.05% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.4% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)37.59% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.62% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)74.37% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 44.41%
    Fortaleza 27.71%
    Draw 27.86%
Vasco da GamaDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 13.26%
2-0 @ 8.74% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.55% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76% (0.0079999999999996 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 44.41%
1-1 @ 12.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.86%
0-1 @ 9.85% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 27.71%

How you voted: Vasco vs Fortaleza

Vasco da Gama
28.0%
Draw
28.0%
Fortaleza
44.0%
25
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Fortaleza
2-0
Vasco
Galhardo (87'), Romero (90+4')
Hercules (42'), Ricardo (90+1'), Pikachu (90+7')

Capasso (5')
Feb 10, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 35
Fortaleza
3-0
Vasco
Torres (7'), David (44'), Romarinho (63')
Dias (66'), Juninho (77')

Alves (31'), Castan (60'), Tenorio (75')
Nov 19, 2020 10pm
Gameweek 16
Vasco
0-0
Fortaleza
Alves (32'), Matos (39')
Oct 13, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 25
Vasco
1-0
Fortaleza
Pikachu (68' pen.)
Henriquez (73'), Bastos (95')

Osvaldo (58'), Adalberto (66'), Paulista (73'), Dias (75')
Dias (79')
May 26, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 6
Fortaleza
1-1
Vasco
Romarinho (89')
Romarinho (90')
Pikachu (71' pen.)
Mineiro (39'), Raul (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR641193613
2Bahia641196313
3FlamengoFlamengo632175211
4Botafogo6312127510
5Sao Paulo6312106410
6Cruzeiro531187110
7Atletico Mineiro52309369
8BragantinoBragantino62317619
9PalmeirasPalmeiras62223308
10FortalezaFortaleza51405417
11InternacionalInternacional42114317
12Gremio42024316
13Vasco da GamaVasco6204611-56
14CriciumaCriciuma31206245
15JuventudeJuventude412157-25
16Corinthians612335-25
17Fluminense6123812-45
18Vitoria5014511-61
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO501428-61
20Cuiaba4004010-100


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