Brasileiro | Gameweek 2
Apr 22, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
Sao Paulo3 - 0America Mineiro
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and America Mineiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Puerto Cabello
Wednesday, April 19 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, April 19 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Defensa 2-1 America Mineiro
Thursday, April 20 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, April 20 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 16.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
Result | ||
Sao Paulo | Draw | America Mineiro |
60.86% ( 2.56) | 22.96% ( -0.79) | 16.17% ( -1.78) |
Both teams to score 44.99% ( -1.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.89% ( 0.35) | 53.1% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.32% ( 0.29) | 74.68% ( -0.3) |
Sao Paulo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.93% ( 1.04) | 17.06% ( -1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.76% ( 1.82) | 47.24% ( -1.82) |
America Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.25% ( -2.04) | 45.75% ( 2.04) |