MX23RW : Wednesday, May 15 00:27:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Apr 7, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez

Lanus
3 - 0
Arsenal

Braghieri (5'), Diaz (45+5' pen.), Sand (88' pen.)
Diaz (23'), Aguirre (37'), Belmonte (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Nahuel Banega (45+3'), Pons (55'), Souto (77')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Arsenal Sarandi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lanus

All competitions
Last Game: Tigre 2-1 Lanus
Sunday, April 2 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Arsenal Sarandi

All competitions
Last Game: C. Cordoba 1-0 Arsenal
Tuesday, April 4 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 47.94%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
LanusDrawArsenal Sarandi
47.94% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 27.65% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 24.4% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 43.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.21% (0.00099999999999767 0)60.78% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.16% (0.0010000000000012 0)80.83% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.5% (0.01100000000001 0.01)25.49% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.66% (0.014000000000003 0.01)60.34% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)41.11% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.35% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)77.65% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 47.94%
    Arsenal Sarandi 24.4%
    Draw 27.64%
LanusDrawArsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 14.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.79% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 4.46% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.76%
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 47.94%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 10.48%
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 9.32% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.14% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 24.4%

Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 5pm
Lanus
1-0
Arsenal
Perez (90+5')
Perez (40'), Aguilar (72'), Perez (78')

Chimino (76')
Mar 7, 2022 10.15pm
Arsenal
2-2
Lanus
Brochero (32'), Kruspzky (56')
Goni (60'), Brochero (68'), Perez (75')
Manuel Lopez (10'), Aguirre (20')
Morales (35'), Perez (42'), Perez (64'), Bernabei (81')
Sep 25, 2021 7.45pm
Arsenal
1-0
Lanus
Sepulveda (49')
Sepulveda (8'), Navas (77'), Goni (83'), Mazzola (90+4')

Aguirre (31'), Bernabei (80'), Perez (83')
Dec 2, 2019 10pm
Arsenal
1-1
Lanus
Gimenez (58')
Cruz Kaprof (86')
De La Vega (81')
Valenti (11'), Bernabei (86')
rhs 2.0
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