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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 16
May 14, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Alberto José Armando

Boca Juniors
2 - 0
Belgrano

Payero (49'), Benedetto (52')
Almiron (36'), Roncaglia (58'), Payero (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Meriano (35')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Belgrano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Belgrano 1-0 Tucuman
Saturday, May 6 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 47.23%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 24.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawBelgrano
47.23% (-0.136 -0.14) 28.33% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 24.44% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 42.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.07% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)62.93% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.59% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)82.41% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.16% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)26.84% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.86% (-0.115 -0.12)62.14% (0.115 0.12)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.7% (0.072000000000003 0.07)42.3% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.31% (0.062999999999999 0.06)78.69% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 47.22%
    Belgrano 24.44%
    Draw 28.32%
Boca JuniorsDrawBelgrano
1-0 @ 14.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.82% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.31% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 47.22%
1-1 @ 12.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.35% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 28.32%
0-1 @ 9.77% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.53% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.2% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 24.44%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2019 12.30am
gameweek 18
Belgrano
1-1
Boca Juniors
Lertora (81')
Quiroga (29'), Patino (63')
Patino (94')
Lopez (16')
Buffarini (38'), Alonso (58'), Izquierdoz (83'), Marcone (84')
rhs 2.0
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