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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Apr 15, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Alberto José Armando
Estudiantes

Boca Juniors
0 - 1
Estudiantes


Fernandez (10'), Medina (60'), Varela (80'), Barco (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Boselli (85')
Ascacibar (35'), Zuqui (45+2'), Godoy (75')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Estudiantes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-0 Boca Juniors
Wednesday, April 12 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 0-0 Tucuman
Thursday, April 13 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 21.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawEstudiantes
53.05% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09) 25.74% (0.023 0.02) 21.21% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Both teams to score 45.5% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.12% (-0.012 -0.01)56.88% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.2% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)77.8% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)21.51% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.44% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)54.56% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.97% (0.065999999999995 0.07)42.03% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.54% (0.059000000000001 0.06)78.46% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 53.05%
    Estudiantes 21.21%
    Draw 25.74%
Boca JuniorsDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 13.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.05%
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 53.05%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.04% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 7.84% (0.017 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.22% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.4% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.16% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 21.21%

Head to Head
Jul 25, 2022 12.30am
Boca Juniors
3-1
Estudiantes
Fernandez (11'), Rojo (58'), Villa (68')
Fabra (3'), Fernandez (20'), Zambrano (45+5'), Payero (86')
Morel (76')
Morel (28'), Castro (58')
Mar 14, 2022 12.30am
Estudiantes
0-1
Boca Juniors

Godoy (8'), Morel (45')
Advincula (54')
Molinas (15'), Fabra (41'), Advincula (43'), Rojo (50'), Fernandez (68'), Orsini (89')
Aug 15, 2021 10pm
Sep 16, 2019 12am
Boca Juniors
1-0
Estudiantes
Reynoso (4')
Marcone (14'), Weigandt (20'), Capaldo (31'), Fabra (69')

Gomez (18'), Kalinski (45')
Aug 20, 2018 7.30pm
Estudiantes
2-0
Boca Juniors
Noguera (58'), Pellegrini (75')
Apaolaza (32'), Luguercio (65'), Pellegrini (94')

Nandez (24'), Goltz (32'), Barrios (49'), Perez (78'), Zarate (82')
rhs 2.0
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