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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 19
Jun 3, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Julio César Villagra

Belgrano
2 - 0
Velez Sarsfield

Vegetti (2'), Pereira (35')
Hesar (25')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cabrera (18'), Guidara (61')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Platense 1-0 Belgrano
Saturday, May 27 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-2 River Plate
Tuesday, May 30 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 39.26%. A draw had a probability of 31.7% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 29.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 2-1 (6.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.13%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgrano would win this match.

Result
BelgranoDrawVelez Sarsfield
39.26% (-0.863 -0.86) 31.73% (0.864 0.86) 29.01% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 36.98% (-1.92 -1.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.31% (-2.27 -2.27)70.69% (2.267 2.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.33% (-1.46 -1.46)87.67% (1.458 1.46)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.65% (-1.789 -1.79)35.35% (1.787 1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.89% (-1.907 -1.91)72.11% (1.905 1.91)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.19% (-1.351 -1.35)42.81% (1.35 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.87% (-1.168 -1.17)79.13% (1.166 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Belgrano 39.25%
    Velez Sarsfield 29%
    Draw 31.73%
BelgranoDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 15.73% (0.54 0.54)
2-0 @ 8.18% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-1 @ 6.94% (-0.36 -0.36)
3-0 @ 2.84% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-1 @ 2.41% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-2 @ 1.02% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 39.25%
0-0 @ 15.13% (1.22 1.22)
1-1 @ 13.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.95% (-0.27 -0.27)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 31.73%
0-1 @ 12.83% (0.58 0.58)
1-2 @ 5.66% (-0.225 -0.23)
0-2 @ 5.45% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 29%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2018 6.30pm
gameweek 10
Velez Sarsfield
1-0
Belgrano
Cufre (68')
Bazan (76'), Laso (94')

Gil Romero (30'), Menosse (73'), Balboa (94')
Gil Romero (42')
rhs 2.0
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