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Estudiantes
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 15
May 8, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Ciudad de La Plata

Estudiantes
2 - 0
Velez Sarsfield

Benedetti (59', 90+1')
Nunez (88'), Lollo (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Florentin (16'), Fernandez (64'), Guidara (90+2'), Lobato (90+2')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Estudiantes and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Bragantino 0-0 Estudiantes
Wednesday, May 3 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-0 San Lorenzo
Saturday, April 29 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 19.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.

Result
EstudiantesDrawVelez Sarsfield
54.4% (0.173 0.17) 26.35% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 19.24% (-0.117 -0.12)
Both teams to score 41.35% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.08% (0.066000000000003 0.07)60.91% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.07% (0.051000000000002 0.05)80.93% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (0.104 0.1)22.61% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.77% (0.152 0.15)56.23% (-0.153 -0.15)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.43% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)46.57% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.84% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)82.16% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes 54.39%
    Velez Sarsfield 19.24%
    Draw 26.35%
EstudiantesDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 15.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.63% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.77% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 54.39%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 10.53% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.4% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 8.05% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.57% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.08% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 19.24%

Head to Head
Oct 17, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 26
Velez Sarsfield
4-0
Estudiantes
Janson (37' pen.), Osorio (72', 85'), Ortega (78')

Morel (36')
May 24, 2022 11.15pm
Group Stage
Velez Sarsfield
4-0
Estudiantes
Janson (21', 43'), Pratto (73'), Osorio (83')

Valdez (12'), Lattanzio (37'), Beltran (69'), Morel (85')
Valdez (76')
Apr 8, 2022 1am
Group Stage
Estudiantes
4-1
Velez Sarsfield
Mas (6'), Rogel (42'), Del Prete (53'), Zapiola (88')
Diaz (22'), Godoy (29'), Rodriguez (71'), Lattanzio (90')
Janson (35')
Gianetti (38'), Pratto (90')
Mar 7, 2022 12.30am
gameweek 5
Velez Sarsfield
1-1
Estudiantes
Janson (10')
Garayalde (41'), Gomez (69'), Hoyos (71')
Diaz (89')
Lattanzio (27'), Morel (65'), Diaz (72')
Nov 28, 2021 12.30am
Second Phase
Estudiantes
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
Diaz (35' pen.)
Rogel (37'), Zapiola (41'), Diaz (56'), Godoy (77')

Janson (17'), Gianetti (28'), Guidara (33'), Mancuello (37')
rhs 2.0
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