Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 17
Jul 31, 2023 at 6pm UK
Eleda Stadion (Malmo)
Malmo3 - 1Varnamo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AIK 0-0 Malmo
Sunday, July 23 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Sunday, July 23 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Goals
for
for
35
Last Game: Varnamo 1-0 Hacken
Saturday, July 22 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Saturday, July 22 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Goals
for
for
16
We said: Malmo 1-0 Varnamo
Even though Varnamo have proved no pushovers on the road, a motivated Malmo side has a point to prove following recent results - and they can move within one point of top spot with victory on Monday. A record of six wins from eight at home this year also confirms that the hosts are justifiable favourites. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 12.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for a Varnamo win it was 0-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Varnamo |
70.15% ( 0.16) | 17.64% ( 0.02) | 12.21% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 51.79% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
