MX23RW : Friday, May 10 17:24:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Malmo
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 13
Jul 1, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Eleda Stadion (Malmo)

Malmo
3 - 0
Sirius

Kiese Thelin (5', 47' pen.), Nanasi (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nwadike (44'), Sjogrell (89')
Nwadike (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and Sirius, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Varnamo 1-3 Malmo
Saturday, June 10 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Sirius 2-0 Goteborg
Sunday, June 11 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Malmo 2-1 Sirius

In their 12 meetings with Malmo since their promotion, Sirius have only managed to secure one victory, which occurred in their previous encounter last season at the Studenternas IP. However, Malmo come into this fixture in superior form and boast an impeccable home record, in contrast to Sirius, who have struggled with inconsistency in their away performances. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 66.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 14.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Sirius win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawSirius
66.5% (-5.497 -5.5) 18.62% (2.083 2.08) 14.87% (3.407 3.41)
Both teams to score 56.05% (2.647 2.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.15% (-1.564 -1.56)36.85% (1.556 1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.97% (-1.715 -1.72)59.02% (1.708 1.71)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.72% (-1.701 -1.7)10.28% (1.694 1.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.33% (-4.008 -4.01)33.67% (4.001 4)
Sirius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.48% (4.053 4.05)37.52% (-4.06 -4.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.7% (3.76 3.76)74.3% (-3.767 -3.77)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 66.5%
    Sirius 14.87%
    Draw 18.62%
MalmoDrawSirius
2-0 @ 9.98% (-0.768 -0.77)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.343 0.34)
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.57% (-1.236 -1.24)
3-1 @ 7.42% (-0.306 -0.31)
4-0 @ 4.31% (-1.099 -1.1)
4-1 @ 4.22% (-0.522 -0.52)
3-2 @ 3.64% (0.247 0.25)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.96% (-0.694 -0.69)
5-1 @ 1.92% (-0.408 -0.41)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 66.5%
1-1 @ 8.6% (0.911 0.91)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.653 0.65)
0-0 @ 3.86% (0.287 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.196 0.2)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.62%
1-2 @ 4.22% (0.841 0.84)
0-1 @ 3.78% (0.648 0.65)
0-2 @ 1.85% (0.478 0.48)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.355 0.36)
1-3 @ 1.38% (0.39 0.39)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 14.87%

How you voted: Malmo vs Sirius

Malmo
94.1%
Draw
0.0%
Sirius
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 17
Sirius
2-1
Malmo
Mathisen (45'), Kouakou (57')
Mathisen (15'), Voelkerling-Persson (49'), Bjorkstrom (72')
Jul 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 15
Malmo
3-1
Sirius
Sejdiu (33', 89'), Zeidan (52')
Rogic (87' pen.)
Widgren (18'), Stensson (32')
Widgren (49')
Oct 30, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 26
Sirius
2-3
Malmo
Girmai (51'), Sylisufaj (53')
Widgren (89')
Inge Berget (49' pen.), Colak (76', 90+2')
Ahmedhodzic (20'), Rieks (45'), Innocent (51'), Abubakari (53'), Dahlin (54'), Larsson (75'), Colak (90+3')
Jul 10, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 10
Malmo
4-0
Sirius
Colak (1'), Rieks (22'), Birmancevic (88'), Christiansen (90+3')
Birmancevic (83'), Nalic (90+1')

Colley (38'), Bjorkstrom (56'), Mathisen (60')
Nov 8, 2020 4.30pm
Gameweek 27
Malmo
4-0
Sirius
Kiese Thelin (3'), Christiansen (8'), Toivonen (15'), Larsson (76')
Inge Berget (63'), Rakip (69')

Shabani (38'), Andersson (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo76011941518
2AIK FotbollAIK74211410414
3Djurgardens IFDjurgarden7412127513
4HackenHacken74121410413
5GAISGAIS7403911-212
6Halmstads BKHalmstad7403912-312
7Mjallby AIF7322118311
8ElfsborgElfsborg73131112-110
9IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping73131118-710
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna7232131129
11HammarbyHammarby7304111019
12IFK GoteborgGoteborg721479-27
13SiriusSirius7214610-47
14Varnamo7214714-77
15KalmarKalmar72051315-26
16Vasteras SKVasteras710639-63


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