MX23RW : Wednesday, May 15 13:25:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | 1st Leg
May 12, 2024 at 7am UK
Marvel Stadium
Wellington Phoenix

Victory
0 - 0
Wellington


Arzani (88')
FT

Ball (41'), Pennington (52'), Rufer (90+5')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Victory 1-1 Melbourne City (3-2 pen.)
Sunday, May 5 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 3-0 Macarthur
Saturday, April 27 at 8.15am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawWellington Phoenix
50.19% (0.11 0.11) 22.22% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 27.59% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 63.71% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.87% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)36.13% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.76% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)58.24% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.28% (0.031000000000006 0.03)14.72% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.08% (0.058999999999997 0.06)42.92% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)25.3% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.93% (-0.101 -0.1)60.06% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 50.19%
    Wellington Phoenix 27.59%
    Draw 22.22%
Melbourne VictoryDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.13% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.83% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 6% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.37% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.12%
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.09% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.004 0)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 50.19%
1-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 6.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.72% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.22%
1-2 @ 6.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 27.59%

Head to Head
Apr 12, 2024 8am
Gameweek 24
Wellington
1-0
Victory
Surman (90+5' og.)
Payne (31'), Ball (65')

Monge (34'), Da Silva (90+1')
Jan 19, 2024 6am
Gameweek 13
Wellington
1-1
Victory
Rufer (90+5' pen.)
Payne (45+8')
Chapman (79')
Traore (36')
Nov 10, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 4
Victory
1-1
Wellington
Teague (14')
Geria (83')
Da Silva (41' og.)
Pennington (8'), Surman (18'), Kelly-Heald (45+4'), Payne (89')
Apr 1, 2023 3am
Gameweek 22
Wellington
1-2
Victory
Zawada (25')
Fornaroli (58'), Da Silva (76')
Feb 3, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 15
Victory
3-1
Wellington
Fornaroli (32'), Brimmer (54'), Juric (90+1')
Zawada (13')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast27174649272255
2Wellington PhoenixWellington27158442261653
3Melbourne VictoryVictory271012543331042
4Sydney FCSydney FC271251052411141
5Macarthur2711884548-341
6Melbourne CityMelbourne City271161050381239
7Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney27114124448-437
8Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2795135253-132
9Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2786134255-1330
10Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets27610113947-828
11Western UnitedWestern Utd2775153655-1926
12Perth GloryPerth Glory2757154669-2322


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!