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Adelaide United
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Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 23
Apr 6, 2024 at 9.45am UK
Marvel Stadium
Melbourne City

Victory
2 - 1
Melbourne City

Fornaroli (34' pen.), Da Silva (86')
Arzani (7'), Da Silva (40'), Machach (82'), Fornaroli (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Arslan (4')
Talbot (27'), Caputo (66'), Fernandez (83'), Jakolis (90+1')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Victory 2-1 Perth Glory
Sunday, March 31 at 5am in Australian A-League

Melbourne City

All competitions
Last Game: Central Coast 2-1 Melbourne City
Tuesday, April 2 at 9am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.81%) and 3-1 (5.53%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Melbourne Victory in this match.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawMelbourne City
45.18% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04) 22.08% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 32.74% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Both teams to score 67.65% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.64% (0.018000000000001 0.02)32.36% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.02% (0.018999999999998 0.02)53.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.96% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)15.04% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.47% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)43.53% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.62% (0.028999999999996 0.03)20.38% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.21% (0.048000000000002 0.05)52.79% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 45.18%
    Melbourne City 32.74%
    Draw 22.09%
Melbourne VictoryDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 5.81% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.53% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.39%
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.62% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 1.1%
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 45.18%
1-1 @ 9.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 6.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 22.09%
1-2 @ 7.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 4.88%
1-3 @ 3.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.88% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 3.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-4 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.74%

Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 8.45am
Gameweek 17
Melbourne City
0-0
Victory
Jeggo (15'), Jakolis (71')
Machach (5'), Monge (35'), Geria (71')
Dec 23, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 9
Melbourne City
0-0
Victory
Jakolis (25'), Arslan (28'), Behich (45')
Machach (45'), Miranda (59')
Apr 5, 2023 10am
Gameweek 8
Melbourne City
2-1
Victory
O'Neill (57')
Velupillay (89')
> Preview
Feb 18, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 17
Victory
3-2
Melbourne City
Da Silva (7'), Fornaroli (46'), Brillante (77')
Leckie (24', 80')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 9.45am
Gameweek 3
Victory
0-2
Melbourne City
MacLaren (17' pen.), Cadete (19' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast27174649272255
2Wellington PhoenixWellington27158442261653
3Melbourne VictoryVictory271012543331042
4Sydney FCSydney FC271251052411141
5Macarthur2711884548-341
6Melbourne CityMelbourne City271161050381239
7Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney27114124448-437
8Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2795135253-132
9Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2786134255-1330
10Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets27610113947-828
11Western UnitedWestern Utd2775153655-1926
12Perth GloryPerth Glory2757154669-2322
> Australian A-League Full Table


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