World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Ta'Qali National Stadium
Malta1 - 3Russia
Mbong (56')
Corbolan (90+2')
Corbolan (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Malta had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Malta win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malta | Draw | Russia |
| 26.31% | 25.78% | 47.89% |
| Both teams to score 50.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
