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Watford logo
Premier League | Gameweek 20
Dec 28, 2021 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
West Ham logo

Watford
1 - 4
West Ham

Dennis (4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Soucek (27'), Benrahma (29'), Noble (58' pen.), Vlasic (90+2')
Dawson (81')

Preview: Watford vs. West Ham United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Watford and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

After nearly three weeks on the sidelines, Watford return to Premier League action on Tuesday, as they welcome a faltering West Ham United side to Vicarage Road.

Having had two festive fixtures cancelled, the Hornets are without even a point since November, while their visitors have picked up only five from their last seven games.


Match preview

West Ham United's Declan Rice pictured on October 24, 2021© Reuters

Despite having the opportunity to host another side struggling for form on Boxing Day, once again West Ham failed to end a miserable run of results which has seen them slip outside the top five in the table. Indeed, they now lie seven points below fourth-placed Arsenal.

Passive defending saw the Hammers go behind against Southampton at the London Stadium, and though they came from behind twice to equalise - first through second-half substitute Michail Antonio and then Said Benrahma - they ultimately lost out 3-2 due to some crucial dead-ball interventions by James Ward-Prowse.

While David Moyes may well have cursed his team's luck in conceding three goals from as many Saints shots on target, they have nonetheless gone completely off the boil during the past month and will want to turn things around before the end of an otherwise excellent year.

Since beating Rapid Vienna to seal progress in the Europa League back in late November, it has been mostly a story of woe for West Ham, who have won just once in the intervening period of eight league and cup games.

Not only did the Irons drop more points on Sunday, they had previously lost back-to-back London derbies against Arsenal and Tottenham, the latter seeing them exit the EFL Cup at the quarter-final stage.

Undoubtedly injuries have disrupted their hitherto well-drilled defence, but if Moyes is to lead his men into another challenge for a top-four place during the spring, things will have to change soon.

 Watford manager Claudio Ranieri, November 20, 2021© Reuters

Last in action on December 10 at Brentford, virus-hit Watford requested their subsequent games against Crystal Palace and Wolves be called off due to a lack of available players, and the Premier League reluctantly agreed.

Following a COVID-19 outbreak at the club, the Hornets have effectively been in a deep freeze over Christmas, but now resume their festive fixture schedule as several squad members emerge from isolation.

Head coach Claudio Ranieri will be aiming for a fresh start this week, as his team had previously suffered four consecutive defeats, conceding 11 times in the process.

The last of those losses came at the hands of potential relegation rivals, with Bryan Mbeumo's last-gasp penalty earning Brentford all three points earlier this month. All told, Watford have lost 11 of their 16 league games.

Nevertheless, they remain live contenders to survive the drop upon their latest return to the top flight, and have certainly endured a tough run of games through November into December, including meeting Manchester City, Chelsea, Arsenal and Manchester United, the latter of whom they memorably beat 4-1 at Vicarage Road.

Sitting just one place above the relegation zone approaching the new year, Watford's next visitors to their Hertfordshire headquarters will be equally desperate for the points, so Ranieri will hope his men's fresher legs can make the difference.

Watford Premier League form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L

West Ham United Premier League form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L

West Ham United form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L



Team News

West Ham United's Michail Antonio celebrates scoring their first goal with Kurt Zouma on October 24, 2021© Reuters

Michail Antonio made his comeback after COVID-19 infection on Sunday, and produced an immediate impact by scoring just minutes after his introduction as a half-time substitute. The West Ham striker had failed to score in any of his previous eight Premier League appearances, but is now likely to start - allowing Jarrod Bowen to shift back out wide.

Following the Hammers' insipid first-half showing last time out, Manuel Lanzini also came on for Pablo Fornals, and that switch could also be retained from the first whistle at Vicarage Road.

Having been exposed defensively but regularly contributed in the opposition area against Southampton, Craig Dawson - who signed for the club from Watford last year - will still start in the back four due to the ongoing absences of Kurt Zouma and Angelo Ogbonna.

Left-back Aaron Cresswell remains out of action too, so Arthur Masuaku could also be retained in the first XI, though Ben Johnson is a contender to cover if required.

Watford, meanwhile, have had the opportunity to recover a number of players affected by both COVID-19 and injuries during their enforced break.

Adam Masina and Ken Sema are expected to be fully fit and involved in the squad, but Nicolas Nkoulou, Francisco Sierralta, Peter Etebo and goalkeeper Ben Foster are still sidelined, alongside the club's Player of the Year, Ismaila Sarr, who had scored just one goal under Ranieri before suffering a knee injury that could keep him out for several weeks.

One of the few success stories for the home side this term has been Nigerian striker Emmanuel Dennis, who will start up front, shortly before his departure for the Africa Nations Cup early next month.

Watford possible starting lineup:
Bachmann; Femenia, Troost-Ekong, Cathcart, Rose; Sissoko, Kucka; Pedro, Cleverley, King; Dennis

West Ham United possible starting lineup:
Fabianski; Coufal, Dawson, Diop, Johnson; Rice, Soucek; Bowen, Lanzini, Benrahma; Antonio


SM words green background

We say: Watford 1-2 West Ham United

Although West Ham had their confidence hammered again on Boxing Day, their hosts have not kept a clean sheet all season and are not about to start now, given some inevitable rustiness after a fortnight in cold storage.

Injuries have limited the Irons' effectiveness in recent weeks, but they should still have enough threat to edge a team which has such a soft underbelly - particularly if Antonio is closer to full fitness and back in form inside the box.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 55.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Watford had a probability of 21.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Watford win it was 1-0 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Watford vs West Ham

Watford
19.4%
Draw
13.4%
West Ham United
67.3%
217
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Watford's Emmanuel Dennis reacts after sustaining an injury, December 10, 2021
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