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Walsall
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Banks's Stadium
Carlisle United

Walsall
1 - 0
Carlisle

Earing (45+2')
White (11'), Kiernan (61'), Rushworth (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Simeu (7')

Preview: Walsall vs. Carlisle United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Walsall and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Carlisle United have the chance to move further up the League Two table on Friday when they face Walsall, who sit directly above them via goal difference.

The two teams will be hoping to get back to winning ways in this match as they have both failed to pick up a victory in their previous three matches.


Match preview

Michael Flynn in charge of Newport County on December 1, 2018© Reuters

Walsall head into Friday's clash with Carlisle without a victory in their previous four matches, and the last three have all resulted in defeats.

The most recent took place against Rochdale when a goal from Conor Grant was enough to separate the two teams as things finished 1-0 after the final whistle.

The poor run of form has dragged Michael Flynn's squad down to 18th in the table, and while they have a 10-point cushion on the relegation zone, a defeat at the weekend could see them drop down to 20th.

The Saddlers will be hoping to improve the attacking side of their game on Friday after failing to score in consecutive games heading into this one.

However, Walsall were unable to find the back of the net when they played Carlisle earlier this season, as the Blues won that encounter 1-0.

It was Tristan Abrahams that got on the scoresheet back in November when the teams last met, and a similar result would be welcomed by the club this weekend.

That is because Carlisle also head into this match out of form, as they have failed to win one of their previous three matches in the league.

However, they have only lost two of the 10 games since Paul Simpson took over as manager, and that run has pulled them away from the relegation zone.

The Blues will want to wrap up the season in style though, and a victory on Friday has the possibility of moving them up to 14th depending on other results.

Simpson will be pushing his team to concentrate until the very end this time out after an 89th-minute goal saw them beaten 1-0 last weekend by Exeter City.

Walsall League Two form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L

Carlisle United League Two form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L



Team News

Coach of England U19s Paul Simpson on July 26, 2018© Reuters

Tyrese Shade heads into this one as a doubt after being left out of the squad completely last weekend, but Reece Devine did return to the team following his injury.

Walsall could also be without Carl Rushworth on Friday as he had to pull out of the team after an injury in the pre-match warm-up against Rochdale.

Simpson opted to make no changes to the starting lineup at the weekend, but after being defeated by Exeter, he could opt to tweak things this time around.

Carlisle could continue to be without Callum Guy and Jamie Devitt, as both men have been sidelined with injuries as of late.

Walsall possible starting lineup:
Rose; White, Ward, Monthe, Devine; Earing, Kinsella; Kiernan, Labadie, Osadebe; Wilkinson

Carlisle United possible starting lineup:
Howard; Mellor, Simeu, Feeney, McDonald, Dickenson; Gibson, Devine, Mellish; Patrick, Dennis


SM words green background

We say: Walsall 0-2 Carlisle United

Even though Carlisle United have failed to win any of their previous three matches, they have been in stronger form overall than their opponents.

The confidence that Simpson has injected into his squad could prove to be vital on Friday, and it should allow them to get back to winning ways.






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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Walsall in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Walsall vs Carlisle

Walsall
0.0%
Draw
16.7%
Carlisle United
83.3%
6
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