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European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Sep 8, 2020 at 7pm UK
Stadio Rajko Mitic

Serbia U21s
1 - 2
Bulgaria U21s

Ilic (86' pen.)
Kamenovic (48'), Petrovic (66'), Birmancevic (80')
Birmancevic (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Iliev (45'), Krastev (64')
Krastev (25'), Tombak (57'), Iliev (75'), Yurukov (80')
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Serbia Under-21s and Bulgaria Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria Under-21s win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Serbia Under-21s had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.21%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Serbia Under-21s win was 1-0 (12.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bulgaria Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Serbia Under-21sDrawBulgaria Under-21s
33.39%30.14%36.47%
Both teams to score 41.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.41%65.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.7%84.3%
Serbia Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.52%36.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.74%73.26%
Bulgaria Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.64%34.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.93%71.07%
Score Analysis
    Serbia Under-21s 33.39%
    Bulgaria Under-21s 36.46%
    Draw 30.13%
Serbia Under-21sDrawBulgaria Under-21s
1-0 @ 12.64%
2-1 @ 6.81%
2-0 @ 6.37%
3-1 @ 2.29%
3-0 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 33.39%
1-1 @ 13.5%
0-0 @ 12.53%
2-2 @ 3.64%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 30.13%
0-1 @ 13.38%
1-2 @ 7.21%
0-2 @ 7.15%
1-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 36.46%

Head to Head
Oct 11, 2019 5pm
Qualifying Round
Bulgaria U21s
0-1
Serbia U21s

Krastev (32'), Yordanov (35')
Stuparevic (87')
Ilic (45'), Nisic (54'), Vlahovic (56'), Devetak (77')
rhs 2.0
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