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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 23
Feb 5, 2023 at 1pm UK
Antakya Atatürk Stadı

Hatayspor
1 - 0
Kasimpasa

Atsu (90+7')
Demirel (15'), Luis (39'), Ribeiro (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Eysseric (63'), Tirpan (64'), Koita (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Kasimpasa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hatayspor

All competitions
Last Game: Gaziantep 4-1 Hatayspor
Wednesday, February 1 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Last Game: Kasimpasa 5-1 Giresunspor
Wednesday, February 1 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Hatayspor 1-1 Kasimpasa

 Possessing the worst attack in the division, few people will expect much quality from Hatayspor in the final third on Sunday. Nevertheless, we feel that the home side may do enough to secure a point, keeping them in close proximity to numerous teams above them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.

Result
HataysporDrawKasimpasa
42.45% (-0.257 -0.26) 24.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 33.4% (0.26 0.26)
Both teams to score 60.15% (0.114 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.73% (0.11 0.11)42.27% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.33% (0.113 0.11)64.67% (-0.114 -0.11)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.89% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)20.1% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.64% (-0.109 -0.11)52.36% (0.107 0.11)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.29% (0.20399999999999 0.2)24.71% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.75% (0.287 0.29)59.25% (-0.29 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 42.45%
    Kasimpasa 33.4%
    Draw 24.15%
HataysporDrawKasimpasa
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.97% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.39% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.42% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 42.45%
1-1 @ 11.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.15%
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.038 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.94% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.85% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.63% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.26% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.022 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 33.4%

How you voted: Hatayspor vs Kasimpasa

Hatayspor
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
Kasimpasa
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 5.15pm
Kasimpasa
1-0
Hatayspor
Hajradinovic (36')
Eysseric (59'), Engin (90+2'), Fall (90+4')

Yilmaz (81')
Jan 8, 2022 1pm
Kasimpasa
3-1
Hatayspor
Eysseric (1'), Bozok (6'), Travnik (50')
Travnik (78'), Hadergjonaj (90+9')
Ergun (75')
Aug 14, 2021 7.45pm
Hatayspor
1-1
Kasimpasa
Lobzhanidze (72')
Ergun (14'), Boudjemaa (60'), Corekci (68')
Eysseric (18')
Ben Ouannes (32'), Hajradinovic (51'), Engin (90')
Feb 6, 2021 10.30am
Kasimpasa
1-4
Hatayspor
Kiese Thelin (56')
Erdogan (16')
Boupendza (44'), Aabid (72'), Canli (84'), Kamara (90+1')
Sep 26, 2020 2pm
Hatayspor
1-0
Kasimpasa
Biram Diouf (57')
Caytemel (45'), Biram Diouf (51')

Kara (36'), Serbest (76'), Oguz (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray35313186226496
2Fenerbahce35286189315890
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor351841361481358
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul351671250401055
5BesiktasBesiktas35166134842654
6AlanyasporAlanyaspor351213105047349
7KasimpasaKasimpasa35147145763-649
8Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor35147144754-749
9SivassporSivasspor351212114251-948
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor351112124044-445
11Adana Demirspor351014115047344
12Samsunspor35119154045-542
13KayserisporKayserispor351111134150-941
14AnkaragucuAnkaragucu35815124346-339
15Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk35910164345-237
16KonyasporKonyaspor35813143448-1437
17GaziantepGaziantep3598184055-1535
18Hatayspor35713153949-1034
19Pendikspor3589184071-3133
RIstanbulspor3547242668-4216
> Turkish Super Lig Full Table


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