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[monks data]
Newport County
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 25, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Southampton logo

Newport
0 - 8
Southampton


Townsend (51'), Lewis (78'), Upson (82')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Broja (9', 57'), Tella (25'), Walker-Peters (44'), Elyounoussi (48', 55', 90+1'), Redmond (69')
Diallo (45+2')

Preview: Newport County vs. Southampton - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Newport County and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Southampton will attempt to record their first win of the season when they face Newport County in the EFL Cup second round on Wednesday night.

While the Saints head into this fixture on the back of an excellent point against Manchester United, their hosts have collected two wins from their first three fixtures in League Two.


Match preview

Southampton manager Ralph Hasenhuttl reacts May 8, 2021© Reuters

Having suffered defeat to Everton after initially taking the lead at Goodison Park, Ralph Hasenhuttl would have had concerns ahead of Southampton welcoming Man United to St Mary's.

However, his young Saints side delivered a rousing performance in front of their returning supporters, having chances to win the game before eventually settling for a point.

Tino Livramento made the headlines with a swashbuckling display from right-back, but Adam Armstrong has also impressed after his transfer from Blackburn Rovers.

Those two players are likely to be among several who will be handed a rest on Wednesday night, but they have set the standard that the rest of Southampton's squad should aspire to achieve.

Newport County manager Michael Flynn in January 2021© Reuters

As far as Newport are concerned, they will welcome the opportunity to play a game away from League Two after getting their campaign off to a positive start.

Manager Michael Flynn will not be present in the dugout after testing positive for coronavirus, but that will not stop him demanding a performance from his in-form squad.

Remarkably, this will be Newport's first home game of the season with each of their victories away from home coming by a 1-0 scoreline.

County upset the odds by defeating Ipswich Town in the previous round, but none of this squad have had a hand in more than one goal this season.

These two clubs are playing each other for the first time since 1968, Southampton prevailing in that FA Cup tie by the odd goal in five.

Newport County EFL Cup form:
  • W

Newport County form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W

Southampton form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D



Team News

Southampton full-back Kyle Walker-Peters pictured in July 2020© Reuters

With an away fixture at Newcastle United on Saturday afternoon, Hasenhuttl is likely to name a much-changed starting lineup.

Armando Broja and Shane Long could lead the Southampton attack, with Mohamed Elyounoussi and Nathan Redmond featuring on the flanks.

Goalkeeper Fraser Forster should get an opportunity between the sticks, while Kyle Walker-Peters may deputise at left-back.

Alex Fisher is a major doubt for Newport after coming off injured against Tranmere Rovers at the weekend.

Timmy Abraham could be brought back into the attack, while more changes are possible if priority is given to the next league fixture on Saturday.

Newport County possible starting lineup:
Day; Clarke, Farquharson, Demetriou; Willmott, Upson, Bennett, Azaz, Haynes; Hylton, Abraham

Southampton possible starting lineup:
Forster; Valery, Stephens, Bednarek, Walker-Peters; Elyounoussi, Romeu, Diallo, Redmond; Broja, Long


SM words green background

We say: Newport County 1-4 Southampton

Despite the possibility of Hasenhuttl changing the majority of his previous starting lineup, we still expect a convincing Saints win.

Newport have impressed against Premier League opposition in the past, but they may struggle to match Southampton on this occasion.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Newport vs Southampton

Newport County
18.1%
Draw
8.8%
Southampton
73.1%
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Southampton striker Che Adams pictured on January 23, 2021
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